california and new york are offset by texas and georgia and the rest of the south. you have got a republican pacific coast, democrat pacific coast in the northeast, the south is republican. and then you fight it out for as you say this handful of 11 states that we are looking at this time. and what it tells you is this. if you have a tie race nationally, you are going to scrutinize each of these swing states polls to every degree you possibly can. when you start to see this movement in a 7-point lead when you are well outside the margin of error nationally. what that tells you is the race is starting to break open. this is something we have been waiting to see if it would happen. for a minute it looked like it might break open for the president. but now it looks like it's breaking open for romney. megyn: a they are saying a rising tide lifts all boats. rasmussen was saying you can just expect that the swing states will follow, presumably the same is true now that mitt romney is at the top. but they also said expect a tightening as we get into late october. we saw a